Phenotypic resistance predicts HIV treatment success over three years

This article is more than 23 years old.

An analysis of 131 nucleoside analogue-experienced individuals followed for up to three years in the US study ACTG 364 has shown that individuals with higher baseline phenotypic susceptibility scores as calculated after using the Virologic Phenosense assay had a significantly lower likelihood of treatment failure during the follow-up period.

The study also found that hypersusceptibility to efavirenz was associated with a reduced risk of virologic failure, albeit with wide confidence intervals (hazard ratio 0.43, 95% CI 0.18-0.97).

Although the study was not designed to test the success of treatment regimens chosen on the basis of phenotypic susceptibility testing, one of the study’s authors, Dr Nicholas Hellman of Virologic, said in a press release issued today by the company that “This study reaffirms the predictive value of phenotypic tests.”

Glossary

nucleoside

A precursor to a building block of DNA or RNA. Nucleosides must be chemically changed into nucleotides before they can be used to make DNA or RNA. 

multivariate analysis

An extension of multivariable analysis that is used to model two or more outcomes at the same time.

naive

In HIV, an individual who is ‘treatment naive’ has never taken anti-HIV treatment before.

hazard ratio

Comparing one group with another, expresses differences in the risk of something happening. A hazard ratio above 1 means the risk is higher in the group of interest; a hazard ratio below 1 means the risk is lower. Similar to ‘relative risk’.

sample

Studies aim to give information that will be applicable to a large group of people (e.g. adults with diagnosed HIV in the UK). Because it is impractical to conduct a study with such a large group, only a sub-group (a sample) takes part in a study. This isn’t a problem as long as the characteristics of the sample are similar to those of the wider group (e.g. in terms of age, gender, CD4 count and years since diagnosis).

The findings are reported in the April 11 edition of AIDS.

Study design

ACTG 364 recruited 131 nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI-) experienced, protease inhibitor-naive patients with four years of mono or dual NRTI experience in ACTG 175 and 48 weeks of subsequent NRTI treatment in ACTG 302/303.

Participants in ACTG 364 received either d4T/ddI, ddI/3TC or d4T/3TC selected according to previous treatment experience, and were randomised to receive either nelfinavir or efavirenz. Thus ACTG 364 was not a randomised comparison of nucleoside analogue backbones, nor a comparison of drug selection by treatment history or phenotypic resistance testing. 75% of participants received two new NRTIs, whilst the remainder received one new NRTI and one recycled drug.

Phenotypic susceptibility was assessed in 131 of 156 individuals with baseline viral load above 2,000 copies/ml, and long-term treatment response was analysed in these individuals at 16, 24 48, 96 and 144 weeks. This group of patients had a median CD4 cell count of 336 cells/mm3 and median viral load of 4.17 log10 copies/ml.

A phenotypic susceptibility score (PSS) was calculated in two ways: as an either/or score based on whether a sample showed a reduction in susceptibility below the cut-off point for a particular drug (dichotomous), and as a continuous score that also reflected the degree of reduction in susceptibility above the cut-off point.

Using a continuous PSS was found to yield a highly significant result, with every 1 unit increase in PSS resulting in a 46% reduction in the risk of virologic failure (95% CI 0.38-0.76) (p<0.001). A PSS of 3 or more was associated with the lowest risk of virologic failure at all time points after week 16 (although the number of patients still on the assigned treatment fell from 93 at week 24 to 43 at week 144).

However, the quantity of new drugs adopted at the beginning of ACTG 364 appeared to have a stronger effect by multivariate analysis. Each new drug resulted in a 66% reduction in the risk of virologic failure (95% CI (0.22-0.50, p<0.001).

On the question of whether phenotypic susceptibility testing and the calculation of phenotypic susceptibility testing is ready for widespread adoption, the authors of the study are more restrained than Virologic. They say that “data from additional clinical trials will be needed to translate these results into a definitive algorithm.”

The study also observed that efavirenz hypersusceptibility, a correlate of AZT resistance in this population, was associated with a reduced risk of virologic failure. These results confirm findings from previous, smaller studies.

References

Katzenstein DA et al. Phenotypic susceptibility and virological outcome in nucleoside-experienced patients receiving three or four antiretroviral drugs. AIDS 821-830, 2003.