Keeping mothers in care: the real-world challenge for PMTCT programmes

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Implementing new recommendations for prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) using antiretroviral drugs has resulted in a significant reduction in new infant HIV infections in Zambia, a study of one district, presented at the 19th Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections in Seattle, shows.

However the impact of improved regimens is being diluted by high-levels of loss to follow-up among mothers receiving triple-drug combination therapy, highlighting the need for improved mechanisms to keep mothers in care after childbirth and to improve adherence to treatment.

A large review of pregnant women in South Africa presented at the conference also found high rates of loss to follow-up within three months of entering care.

Glossary

relative risk

Comparing one group with another, expresses differences in the risk of something happening. For example, in comparison with group A, people in group B have a relative risk of 3 of being ill (they are three times as likely to get ill). A relative risk above 1 means the risk is higher in the group of interest; a relative risk below 1 means the risk is lower.

PCR

Polymerase chain reaction, a method of amplifying fragments of genetic material so that they can be detected. Some viral load tests use this method.

epidemiology

The study of the causes of a disease, its distribution within a population, and measures for control and prevention. Epidemiology focuses on groups rather than individuals.

confidence interval

A range of values that gives us an indication of how precise an estimate is - if the confidence interval is wide, the estimate is imprecise. The ‘true’ result could be as low or as high as the lower and upper values that are given. A 95% confidence interval suggests that there is a 95% probability that the true result is within the range given. Confidence intervals give similar information to p-values but are easier to interpret.

The World Health Organization issued new recommendations on the use of antiretroviral drugs for prevention of mother-to-child transmission in 2009, encouraging countries to adopt triple-drug antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy and breastfeeding even if the mother is not eligible for antiretroviral treatment for her own health, wherever this is affordable ('Option B').

The alternative option ('Option A') is to use a more limited regimen of zidovudine from week 14 of pregnancy, single-dose nevirapine for mother and infant around the time of delivery, and zidovudine with 3TC  during delivery and for one week after delivery.

Although clinical trials have shown that triple-drug therapy is highly effective in reducing the risk of mother-to-child transmission, there is limited information on the real-life effectiveness of the various recommended options for PMTCT.

Researchers from the Center for Infectious Diseases Research, Zambia, designed a controlled observational cohort study in the rural Kafue district, around 60 miles outside the Zambian capital Lusaka.

The study compared the performance of universal triple-drug therapy for all pregnant and breastfeeding women at four sites with five control sites where women not eligible for antiretroviral therapy for their own health received a modified version of the WHO Option A regimen.

The study was designed to reproduce real-world conditions as far as ethically possible; women were seen every two to four weeks until delivery, and infants were tested for HIV DNA by PCR test at 6 weeks, 6 months and 12 months after birth. Staff at participating centres attempted to contact any mothers who missed appointments three times before mothers were classified as lost to follow-up.

The study measured two outcomes:

  • Infant HIV infection, or death
  • Infant HIV infection, death or maternal loss to follow-up (“programme failure”). This outcome was designed to capture the extent to which loss to follow-up differed between study sites, and whether this was attributable to the type of PMTCT regimen being provided.

One hundred and forty-three women were recruited at the intervention sites, and 141 at the control sites. Women at the control sites had significantly higher CD4 cell counts at baseline (440 cells/mm3 vs 345 at the intervention sites, p<0.001) and were somewhat more likely to be asymptomatic, having WHO stage 1 HIV disease (p = 0.05).

Women at the control sites were more likely to stop breastfeeding in the first year after delivery; approximately half of women at the control sites were still breastfeeding after one year, compared to approximately 85% in the intervention group (who were still receiving triple-drug ART while breastfeeding) (p<0.001). The majority of infant infections at the control sites occurred during 24 and 60 weeks after delivery.

Only one infection occurred in the intervention group, detectable by HIV DNA testing at week 6. At week 6 there was no significant difference in the risk of mother-to-child transmission or death, but by month 6 the risk of transmission or death was significantly greater among women at the control sites (13.5% vs 3%, relative risk 3.67, 95% confidence interval 1.50-9.02). This difference was sustained at 12 months (19.5% vs 5.8%, RR 3.44, 95% CI 1.56-7.59).

However the inclusion of loss to follow-up as part of the combined outcome measure of programme success resulted in a less favourable assessment of the performance of triple-drug therapy as PMTCT at months 6 and 12. In neither case was there a significant difference in performance, due to higher rates of loss to follow-up at the intervention sites compared to the control sites at these time points.

Despite the superior effectiveness of triple-drug therapy in preventing new infections and death, the investigators concluded that patient loss to follow-up poses a significant threat to the effectiveness of PMTCT programmes, and called for greater attention to tailored interventions that can improve retention in care and adherence to treatment.

A second study, presented by Landon Myer of the University of Cape Town on behalf of the IeDEA collaborative epidemiology group, reviewed rates of loss to follow-up among women with HIV who initiated antiretroviral therapy at six large public sector HIV clinics in South Africa between 2002 and 2009. The study reviewed 29,653 women who started triple combination ART based on South African national guidelines during the period.

Although pregnant women who received ART were significantly less likely to die during the first year of treatment compared to non-pregnant women (3% vs 9%, p<0.001), pregnant women were significantly more likely to be lost to follow-up (19% vs 11%, p<0.001), and this trend was consistent across all sites.

Loss to follow-up was more common in women under 30 and in women with higher CD4 cell counts in pregnant women who started ART during pregnancy.

Landon Myer said that it was still unclear whether loss to follow-up was occurring post-partum or before delivery, and that more research was needed into the reasons for loss to follow-up, as well as the design of interventions to reduce loss to follow-up rates in pregnant women on ART, especially as guidelines expand the population of women eligible to begin ART during pregnancy.

References

Chi B et al. Field effectiveness of universal ART for PMTCT: rural Zambia. 19th Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections, Seattle, abstract 23LB, 2012. The abstract is available on the official conference website.

Myer L et al. Loss to follow-up and mortality among pregnant and non-pregnant women initiating ART: South Africa. 19th Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections, Seattle, abstract 22, 2012. The abstract is available on the official conference website.

A webcast of the session, Critical treatment issues in women and children, is available through the official conference website.

This news report is also available in French.