Researchers used different methods to select the study population for each country, depending on national record-keeping systems and the number of people with HIV starting treatment. Whereas everyone starting treatment in Haiti (n=69,936) and Ukraine (n=57,851) was included in the study, researchers selected nationally representative samples in Nigeria (n=8,053), Uganda (65,936) and Zimbabwe (24,099). In Kenya (n=9,549), everyone receiving treatment through one PEPFAR implementing partner was included.
Overall, 56% of study participants in the six participating countries were female, 62% were aged 25-44 years, 44% had WHO stage 1 HIV (asymptomatic) and 59% took dolutegravir-based antiretroviral treatment. Study populations varied somewhat between countries in their demographic composition, reflecting differences in the HIV epidemics of the participating countries. The Ukrainian cohort had a higher proportion of male participants than others, and participants in Ukraine were more likely to be over 35 years old than in other countries. There were also differences between countries in HIV treatment regimen (participants in Haiti, Kenya and Nigeria were more likely to receive dolutegravir and less likely to receive efavirenz than participants in other countries). Approximately 40% of participants in Uganda and Ukraine did not receive TPT, compared with less than 6% in Nigeria.
The primary outcomes of the study were the incidence of tuberculosis (laboratory confirmed or clinically diagnosed), and death from any cause.
A pooled analysis of cohorts from all participating countries showed that starting TPT within eight weeks of antiretroviral therapy initiation reduced the risk of TB by 61% (adjusted hazard ratio 0.39, 0.34-0.43) and the risk of death by 45% (aHR 0.55, 0.51-0.58). TPT was associated with a reduced risk of TB and death for all countries apart from Nigeria, where the difference in outcomes was non-significant owing to the small sample size.
Demographic and HIV-related factors had negligible impact on the effectiveness of TPT in preventing TB, with the exception of enrolment year in Kenya.
Starting TPT within two weeks of initiating antiretroviral treatment improved the protective effect of TPT compared with starting within eight weeks, reducing the risk of developing TB by 68% in a pooled analysis.
The study investigators point out that TPT use was not widespread until PEPFAR committed to providing it for everyone in 2018. By 2023, 13 million had received TPT through PEPFAR-funded programmes. As funding for HIV care becomes constrained, “continued vigilance for TPT delivery to people with HIV will be crucial to ensure gains are sustained,” they conclude.
Supply chain management, integration of TPT into HIV care, improved access to point-of-care diagnostics for TB such as urinary TB-LAM, and education for professionals and stakeholders will continue to be critical for programme implementation. Further evidence on short TPT regimens will also aid implementation, the authors conclude.