A study that looks at the genetic makeup of archived samples
of drug-resistant HIV in the UK has found evidence that some drug-resistant
strains of HIV are very long-lived and are persisting in the population.
However, they appear to be passed on by people who are undiagnosed or not on
antiretroviral treatment (ART) and are not arising anew in people on treatment.
Some resistance mutations are ‘fossil mutations’ that arose to drugs that are
no longer in wide use.
In contrast, resistance mutations that commonly arise on
treatment now, and do have an impact on choice of drug regimen, are not being commonly transmitted. This is probably because these
mutations tend to make HIV less ‘fit’ and less easily transmitted. These include the K65R and M184V/I mutations, which confer resistance to the two drugs used in pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP).
The researchers observed that “there is discordance between
the mutation patterns observed in HIV-infected patients failing therapy and
those seen in TDR” (transmitted drug resistance), and therefore wished to
investigate the persistence of mutations commonly seen in transmitted drug resistance.
The prevalence of transmitted drug resistance in the UK peaked at 15.5% in 2002 and
had fallen to 11% by 2009. Even in people who experience HIV treatment failure, only 30-40% now
prove to have drug resistance, as drugs with more ‘forgiving’ profiles that
only develop resistance slowly in response to poor adherence are increasingly
used.
The study looked at 1140 samples of HIV from the UK HIV Drug
Resistance Database, sampled between 1997 and 2011, with the majority taken
from 2004 onwards. All samples had HIV drug resistance.
The researchers only sampled HIV from people who had not taken
ART and looked only at the most common primary mutations seen in transmitted
virus against three classes of drugs. Between them, these represented about half
the viruses in the database. These were:
- T215Y and related mutations: these cause
resistance to the thymidine analogue drugs in the class of nucleoside reverse
transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs). These, the drugs stavudine (d4T)
and zidovudine (AZT), are rarely used these days in the UK.
- K103N: this is the most common resistance
mutation to the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor drugs (NNRTIs). This
still has clinical relevance as it causes failure of the first-generation
NNRTIs efavirenz (also in Atripla)
and nevirapine. It does not cause resistance to the second-generation drugs etravirine
and rilpivirine unless there are additional drug resistance mutations.
- L90M: this is the most commonly found primary
transmitted resistance mutation to protease inhibitor (PI) drugs. It only
causes resistance to the PIs saquinavir and nelfinavir, which are very rarely
used now.
These were present in 58%, 38% and 13% of samples respectively, mostly as
the sole mutation: only 7% had more than one mutation and only 1% all three.
The researchers used phylogenetic analysis, which links together viruses that have a pre-defined degree of genetic similarity. Viruses
that are closely similar are treated as ‘clusters’ that may be connected by
transmission. Dating when individual samples appeared within clusters can show how persistent
the transmission of a particular drug resistance mutation is over time.
The analysis found 193 clusters, of which 78 were isolated
pairs and 115 had more than two members.
The oldest cluster found was a group of nine viruses with the
T215Y mutation whose first member was sampled in about 2000 and whose latest
around 2008; the youngest was also in nine viruses with T215Y which appeared
around 2006 and was still persisting in 2010. A cluster of ten viruses with
K103N arose in about 2002 and was still persisting in 2010. The largest
cluster, of 15 viruses with the L90M mutation, appeared in 2004 and was still
present in several samples collected in 2011.
The researchers were able to determine from their analysis how
commonly the viruses within clusters were transmitted. They calculated the
‘reproduction number’, which is the average number of times HIV gets
transmitted from one individual. These varied from 1.3, implying that most of
the time one person with the virus only transmitted it to one other, so forming
a linear chain, to 2.8, implying that on average they passed it on to nearly
three people.
The researchers say that it is not possible to know whether
all the transmitted drug resistance has been transmitted while the source patient (who may not be on
the database) was still untreated, especially with the K103N mutation, which
still arises in response to currently used drugs. However, they comment, “since 82% of new
infections are estimated to be derived from the undiagnosed (and therefore
untreated) and while the proportion of patients failing treatment with
resistance is small, it seems likely that the continuing major source of TDR in
the UK is from untreated patients.”
The researchers forecast that although the transmitted
mutations are persistent, they will decay slowly over time, with a decay time
of 13 years being observed with T215Y. L90M is now only observed in 1% of newly
diagnosed people.
The authors comment: “It is reassuring to note that much TDR in the
UK is likely to be derived from untreated and likely undiagnosed individuals
and that it is mostly unlikely to have considerable impact on therapy outcomes.
“However, the same cannot be presumed for developing countries
where therapy options and laboratory monitoring are much more limited.”