WHO issued guidelines for treatment in resource-limited settings in 2003 and updated them in 2006.
The focus of the original guidelines was the scale-up of antiretroviral treatment by a public health approach – a standardised prescription for treatment that could be adopted by any health system, no matter how poorly resourced. The 2003 guidelines emphasised that eligibility for treatment could be determined by the presence of symptoms of advanced HIV disease – so-called WHO stage 4 disease.
Pressure for WHO to recommend earlier treatment has been growing for several years. A change in the guidelines began to look inevitable earlier this year when the CIPRA HT 001 study in Haiti was halted. This US-sponsored study was designed to evaluate whether earlier treatment, starting at a CD4 threshold of 350, had a significant effect on reducing death and illness in a low-income setting. The study was halted early after an interim analysis showed a significantly lower rate of deaths in the earlier treatment arm.
In June Dr Kevin M de Cock, outgoing head of the WHO’s HIV department told the 2009 HIV Implementers’ meeting in Windhoek, Namibia: "The world cannot allow a permanently two-tiered system of global AIDS treatment with late initiation of outmoded drugs reserved for the South.”
Today’s recommendations, released in advance of publication of the full adult treatment guidelines in early 2010, emphasise the use of CD4 counts in order to determine eligibility for treatment, in place of the previous model.
Treatment should now be initiated when a person’s CD4 count falls below 350, regardless of whether symptoms are present or not.
The shift to earlier treatment needs to be supported by a greater investment in laboratory monitoring, and the new guidance recommends that where available, viral load should be monitored every six months and treatment should be swtiched if viral load has risen above 5000 copies/ml. However, WHO states that access to treatment should not be denied if laboratory monitoring is not available.
Although the recommendation of earlier treatment has the potential to greatly increase the numbers in need of treatment, uptake of earlier treatment will be dependent on increasing the uptake of voluntary counselling and testing. At present the average CD4 count at which people in low and middle-income countries begin antiretroviral treatment is less than 200. The ART LINC international cohort collaboration reported that the average CD4 count at the time of treatment initiation in 2006 was 122 cells/mm3 in sub-Saharan Africa, 134 cells/mm3 in Asia, and 197 cells mm3 in Latin America.
The influential South African clinician Dr Francois Venter told the International AIDS Society conference in July that, for South Africa, the priority was to get people onto treatment, not earlier treatment, and that despite a big increase in HIV testing in South Africa in recent years, too many patients were being lost from care after diagnosis, only returning when seriously ill.
Country capacity to offer earlier treatment is also questionable, with reports of caps on treatment enrolment in several countries due to a shortage of funds. However WHO says that the incremental costs of an additional one to two years on ART – the estimated additional time on treatment – may be partly offset by decreased hospital and death costs, increased productivity due to fewer days sick, fewer children orphaned by AIDS and a drop in new HIV infections as a consequence of suppressed viral load.
An economic analysis of the South African situation, published earlier this year, estimated that earlier treatment in line with the new WHO recommendations would cost South Africa $1.5 billion over five years if the country’s health system was successful in diagnosing and treating everyone eligible for treatment, and $1.1 billion if half of those eligible received treatment.