In the following session, Keith Pappa challenged the ACTG5202 findings with data from a study by GSK (the manufacturer of abacavir and Kivexa). This GSK study examined 48-week data from five other clinical trials in which ABC/3TC-containing regimens were used: the KLEAN, SHARE, CNA30021, CNA30024 and ESS30009 studies.
The actual treatment regimens used in each trial were as follows:
- ABC/3TC + atazanavir/r (SHARE)
- ABC/3TC + lopinavir/r and ABC/3TC + fosamprenavir/r (KLEAN)
- ABC/3TC + efavirenz (CNA30024 and ESS30009)
- ABC/3TC (qd) + EFV (CNA30021)
As in ACTG5202, participants were split into two groups according to viral load – less than, and greater than or equal to, 100,000 copies/ml. The study also used the same primary efficacy endpoint as ACTG5202 – time to virologic failure, defined as either a confirmed viral load of at least 1,000 copies/ml between 16 and 24 weeks ("early failure"), or a viral load at least 200 copies/ml at or after 24 weeks("late failure").
The analysis found that, in the existing six clinical trials, between 87% and 95% of participants had not experienced virologic failure by 48 weeks. Importantly, there was no clarification as to whether these were on-treatment or intent-to-treat values; the extremely high success rates would suggest on-treatment values. The rates of people who had not experienced virologic failure by 48 weeks in the studies examined, by high (≥100,000 copies/ml) and low (<100,000) viral loads, were as follows:
- SHARE: 93% (high), 93% (low)
- KLEAN, lopinavir/r: 92% (high), 95% (high)
- KLEAN, fosamprenavir/r: 92% (high), 94% (high)
- CNA30024: 93% (high), 95% (high)
- ESS30009: 95% (high), 95% (high)
- CNA30021: 89% (high), 94% (high)
Pappas also presented data from the HEAT trial, data from which were previously presented at the Fifteenth Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections in Boston earlier this year. HEAT showed statistical non-inferiority of ABC/3TC to TDF/FTC in terms of virologic success at 48 weeks, in patients at all baseline viral loads.
For patients with viral loads < 100,000 copies/ml, 90% were virologically suppressed at 48 weeks vs 87% on TDF/FTC, and for those with viral loads ≥ 100,000 copies/ml, the figures were 87% vs 90% respectively.
The HEAT study also assessed the time of occurrence of the first serious adverse event – any symptom or lab toxicity of either grade 3 or 4, or at least one grade higher than at baseline. Occurrences of any such AE were similar and infrequent in both treatment arms, at 3% or less. Discontinuations due to AEs were 5% for ABC/3TC and 8% for TDF/FTC for people in the higher viral load group. (People with abnormal creatinine kinase or bilirubin levels were excluded from the study.)
This study team concluded that, "using the efficacy and safety endpoint defined in ACTG5202, this analysis of six clinical trials showed that the efficacy of ABC/3TC-containing regimens was robust in ART-naive pts irrespective of baseline viral loads."
Why the difference?
The question remains as to how to reconcile the ACTG5202 findings with the HEAT and other figures presented by GSK. Pappas indicated that the ACTG findings were "unexpected" (a point the ACTG investigators do not dispute) and "different from clinical experience". However, as Sax pointed out, the sample size of the HEAT study – 688 patients – is smaller than that of ACTG 5202.
One delegate at the presentation pointed out that, in each of the six studies cited by GSK, there appeared to be a trend (although small) toward poorer virologic performance with ABC/3TC. As a pooled meta-analysis was not performed, there is a question as to what pooled data from all six studies might show.