WHO's new PMTCT guidelines acknowledged that the preliminary TOPS data were to be presented at the Bangkok conference, but felt that the strategy needed "to be further assessed before any recommendation can be made to use this approach in programmes to prevent mother to child transmission."
At the same time, the guidelines allow wide latitude in the selection of local PMTCT strategies, in line with each country's resources and infrastructure. It is likely that practice will accordingly vary from one place to another. In many settings individual specialists will decide their own approach.
HATIP asked our advisory panel a series of questions to get a reading on what may happen next in clinical practice.
We asked: "Do any of the new data lead you to think that PMTCT programmes should be radically altered now?"
Some panellists think that it could be a bit premature to consider changing practice because of the resistance data.
Dr. Francois Venter from South Africa said: "On a continent where people requiring ARVs are not getting them because of poor health care systems, even in our country, which is relatively well resourced, debates about NVP resistance post sdNVP sometimes seem at best academic and at worst threaten an effective and simple intervention."
Dr. Diana Gibb of the UK's Medicine Research Council: "I would caution being too down on NVP until there is more evidence and debate [as it] risks playing into the hands of those who are against ART anyway, even to MTCT prevention." She supports further research, "in particular looking in more detail at 'covering the tail' with Combivir and short course triple [therapy] (with staggered stop if NVP used). I think the consequences of a single mutation arising in the babies in this manner remains unknown, and this needs urgent investigation."
"Still," says Dr. Venter: "Use whatever it takes to prevent MTCT, and of course try to minimise resistance with strategies like short course AZT/3TC. We should be striving to treat pregnant women with triple therapy, wherever possible. But this is not powerful enough to call into question [sdNVP programmes]. Where sdNVP is all that is available, use it."
Dr. Gerald van Osch, a clinician in the Dutch West Indies, concurs that in the very resource limited areas, sdNVP should continue for now "but with emphasis that better options will have to be researched." He suggests that in addition to the TOPS regimen, a parallel regimen of AZT and 3TC syrup for the baby should be investigated.
Other panellists also expressed a preference for new PMTCT approaches.
Dr. Zvi Bentwich from Israel said: "Overall, we should combine sdNVP with additional retrovirals for a short period of time."
Dr. Mark Cotton: "I favour moving away from sdNVP as soon as possible and support a post delivery short course of dual nucleosides when sdNVP has been used. [We] need to move to triple therapy where possible as fast as possible."
Dr. Christopher Lee of Malaysia: "Combination ARV therapy has become the favoured option here. Our concern for sdNVP is the risk of NNRTI (one of our preferred ARV agents locally) resistance. I also have problems with ZDV with sdNVP, which to me just increases the risk of ARV resistance across 2 drug classes.
Professor Brian Gazzard of the Imperial College School of Medicine, and HIV Research Director, at Chelsea and Westminster Hospital in London: "The data really do strongly indicate that with newly available cheap combinations, there would be little difference between providing HAART therapy for a very short period, at least to the mother and perhaps AZT monotherapy or perhaps combination therapy for a short period to the baby. I think this is undoubtedly likely to be in the long term the best way forward."
Do you believe that reducing transmission of HIV-1C will require a different strategy?
Most panelists think not because as Dr. Venter points out: "sdNVP been shown to work in SA and in Africa."
Dr. Mark Cotton notes: "Interestingly, Clade C had the lowest percentage of intrapartum transmission; does that mean we should not need an intrapartum strategy for Clade C?"
Yet the study "clearly emphasises the need for early diagnosis [and] to prioritise ART to pregnant women," said Chris Green, a long-time patient advocate in Indonesia.
Doesn't the use of sdNVP alone pose a the danger to subsequent children? Would you prescribe sdNVP to a woman who has previously received it?
Dr. Venter: "I am very worried about subsequent children, but would use best available strategy."
Is the simplicity and economy of PMTCT, and its efficacy in a wide population a good enough excuse to limit the future treatment options of a small proportion of that population?
Dr. Bentwich: Not enough, but there is clearly an alternative with [a short course of background other antiretrovirals post-delivery].
Dr. Venter: "Simple and cheap goes a long way here! Its simple, and South Africa, with all its resources, is only getting sdNVP right in selected areas. I think sdNVP is less than ideal, and needs to be constantly re-evaluated - but the reality is it works better on a mass scale [than combination therapy]".