“It has been described early in the AIDS epidemic that approximately 5% of patients with AIDS will develop PML,” said Dr Koralnik. This was in industrialised settings; the incidence in resource-limited settings is either low or unknown.
But even though it is a relatively rare disease, the polyomavirus JC virus (JCV) that causes it is ubiquitous. In fact, most people are infected with the JC virus during childhood, and by adulthood approximately 85% are seropositive worldwide (though like HIV, different strains of JC virus are prevalent in different parts of the globe (Delbue)). The infection is asymptomatic as long as the immune system is functioning normally, and the virus remains quiescent in the kidney tubular epithelial cells or in the lymphoid organs. It can often be found by PCR secreted in the urine of healthy individuals.
It is not clear how commonly the virus exists latently in the brain in healthy people. Dr Koralnik rather believes that when the immune system is suppressed (due to HIV, leukaemia or organ transplant drugs or chronic steroid use), the virus begins to replicate elsewhere and then spreads via the blood to the CNS. In the case of HIV disease, this usually only occurs when the CD4 count falls below 200 cells/mm3, but there have been reports of patients with CD4 cell counts of 500 cells/mm3 and even higher when diagnosed with PML — as opposed to when the JCV infection actually becomes established in the brain. Some of the cases diagnosed at higher CD4 cell counts may actually be due to PML-IRIS (see related article).
Nevertheless, once the immune system is suppressed, JCV can enter the CNS and infect astrocytes (glial cells which protect and support neurons) and oligodendrocytes, the cells that produce myelin, the protective sheath covering nerve fibres in the CNS. This ultimately causes the death of the oligodendrocytes, the subsequent loss of myelin (demyelination), and the formation of multiple lesions (usually) in the white matter of the brain. However, there have also been occasional reports of grey matter involvement.
The initial clinical presentation is usually subacute or, rather, insidious. At first, the condition may seem like a stroke that gradually gets worse, often starting with weakness in the arms or legs (sometimes on only one side of the body), sometimes progressing to paralysis with altered vision (blurred or double vision) that may progress to blindness. Changes in mental status may be subtle at first, starting with confusion and worsening to dementia. Aphasia — trouble producing or understanding coherent speech — is common. If untreated, PML can lead to a coma or vegetative state, with death occurring in less than six months in most patients, while some people with PML have a much slower course of progression.
Diagnosis is usually based upon detection of JCV by PCR in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), which, before the advent of ART at least, was highly sensitive and specific for PML. According to a presentation by Dr Serena Delbue of the University of Milan, high CSF levels of JCV are also predictive of poorer outcomes — and thus might be useful for clinical management of patients.
Since ART, however, some studies have reported that JCV PCR in the CSF is not quite as sensitive (detected in ~58%) — and so brain biopsies may still be necessary to confirm diagnosis in some patients. (There could be a couple of alternate explanation for these cases — see PML IRIS below). In suspected cases where the CSF is JCV-negative, it might also be easier to look for JCV in the blood — according to a poster presentation at the conference by Sala et al., around 40% of PML patients have detectable JCV in plasma. However in most cases, JCV-DNA levels were only detectable in the blood after onset of neurological symptoms, and thus could not be used either to predict or monitor outcomes.
Computerised tomography (CT scans) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings characteristic of classical PML typically show multiple (although there is occasionally just one) focal lesions in the white matter, without mass effect and usually without enhancement (there may be some differences in enhancement in people who develop PML-IRIS (see related article).
Limited access to these diagnostic methods could partly explain why the reported incidence of PML is so low outside the developing world. “It occurred to me during this conference that it is the only opportunistic infection which is more frequent in the resource developed setting,” said Dr Koralnik.
But the lower rate of PML in resource-limited settings could also be due to differences in host susceptibility or differences in the local strains of JC virus. Likewise, HIV has been theorised to specifically interact with JC virus, so the difference in PML incidence could possibly reflect the differences between HIV subtypes (and their respective neurotropisms) across the globe.
However, Dr Koralnik believes it might also simply be a case of people dying of other causes or prior to diagnosis in resource-poor settings. Another possibility, as Dr. Hakim from the University of Zimbabwe pointed out in an earlier session at the meeting, is that there's no incentive to spend scarce resources to investigate something that can’t be treated.
And there is no treatment for JC virus or PML. The literature is full of case reports or anecdotes of this or that drug (Cytosine arabinosine, Ara C), topotecan, cidofovir — all rather difficult to tolerate medications) having an effect in some patients but not others — but so far there is little convincing evidence that any of these drugs can be relied upon to alter the course of the disease.(see related article on future treatment research)