Although the incidence is still fairly low, there is an increasing rate of resistance to TB drugs in patients in Botswana, and much of this may be the result of premature treatment discontinuation due to inadequate counselling and a widespread belief in Botswana that TB is not fatal, according to two studies presented at the 1st National HIV and AIDS (NHASORC) last month in Gaborone, Botswana.
In addition to the very high prevalence of HIV infection, Botswana is burdened with a very high caseload of TB. In 2001, the yearly incidence of TB was approximately 620 cases per 100,000 persons according to studies presented Like the HIV epidemic, this increasing incidence is a relatively recent phenomenon. After the establishment of a national TB programme in 1975, Botswana had seen a steady decline in the TB incidence. But since 1989, the TB case rate in Botswana has increased simultaneously with rising rates of HIV.
Several studies on TB and its relationship to the HIV epidemic were presented at the Gaborone meeting. The first two evaluated possible causes of treatment failure: drugs resistance and premature treatment discontinuation. Two other reports at the meeting investigated the epidemic in two “problem” populations: prisoners and refugees (see TB in hard-to-reach populations), while another reported disappointing results reviewing different rapid diagnostic test for TB (see TB diagnostics in Botswana).
Dr. Paul Ngirubiu reported the results from the most recent TB drug resistance survey, conducted from March to November 2002. Previous surveys performed in Botswana in 1995-to 6 and 1999 showed very low rates of drug resistance. However, as some studies have found an association between HIV and TB drug resistance (though others have not), there are concerns that HIV could increase TB drug resistance.
The survey measured the rates of resistance to first-line TB drugs and at the same time conducted anonymous HIV surveillance to determine whether it was linked to increased drug resistance. The survey also assessed the prevalence of non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM).
Specimens were collected from labs all over the country, from 2425 patients who developed TB during the survey period. The median age was 34 yrs and 1333 of the patients (55%) were male. Overall, 1455 (60%) of the sputum specimens were HIV-positive by rapid testing. Culture results are available on 61% of the total isolates: 83% of these were mycobacterium tuberculosis while 2% were positive for nontuberculous mycobacteria (results are still pending on the other 15%).
TB cases occurred in 1124 new patients in the survey — 10.3% had some drug resistance. This represented a statistically significant increase from previous survey findings (3.7% isolates in 1995-6, and 6.3% in 99).
Isoniazid and rifampicin are the most important TB medications used in Botswana. The survey found that 4.4% of the new patients had some isoniazid resistance, and 1.9% had some resistance to rifampicin. Resistance to both drugs was observed in 0.8% of the new patients, which represented an increase from 0.2% in previous surveys (this finding did not reach statistical significance: p=0.17).
Among 100 previously treated patients, resistance had increased since the previous surveys, from 14% and 22.8% to 24%. This finding did not quite reach statistical significance (p=0.08), but the number of patients involved was small. 15% and 13% of the resistant-pretreated patients were resistant to isoniazid and rifampicin, respectively.
MDR-TB is also on the rise among previously treated patients, up from 5.8 and 9% in the two previous surveys to 11%. Although clearly trending upwards, this finding did not reach statistical significance (p=0.16)
In a very preliminary analysis, HIV status was not associated with a higher risk of developing drug resistance (RR=0.60) (95% CI 0.3, 1.7). However, the study was poorly powered to answer the question (out of the 2425 patients enrolled, they have received only 76 follow-up specimens, only 61 of these isolates had drug resistance data thus far that could be compared to HIV status. Furthermore, it was pointed out by members of the audience that HIV’s effect on resistance could be quite complex. For example, the infectiousness of people with drug resistant TB can vary according to stage of HIV disease. Also, the very burden of the HIV epidemic could so tax the healthcare infrastructure that under-treating TB becomes more common, leading to TB drug resistance in more individuals whether they are co infected with HIV or not.