“One can only speculate about the reasons for this development,” write the investigators. However, they point out that the XDR-TB strain seen in 2001 and those seen in 2005 were resistant to different second-line drugs, and therefore cannot have only been transmitted from person-to-person but must have also evolved through exposure to suboptimal drug regimens.
An accompanying editorial suggests that Darwin’s theory of evolution provides a template to help us understand how the scaling-up of DOTS – which focused on supervised adherence to a fixed combination of anti-TB drugs without drug susceptibility testing, and which is at the heart not only of South Africa’s TB policy but WHO’s global Stop TB Strategy – resulted in the emergence of XDR-TB.
The investigators note that the DOTS “policy ignores the observations of spreading MDR strains such as the F15/LAM4/KZN strain. This means that, in the absence of susceptibility testing, a growing proportion of patients started receiving a [first-line] regimen of isoniazid, rifampicin, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol while infected with an MDR strain...Therefore, in the absence of susceptibility test results at the commencement of treatment, patients have been treated unintentionally with 1 or 2 active drugs only. This not only resulted in treatment failures, but also in further selection of drug-resistant strains.”
They add that, “it is obvious that, when the directly observed therapy–plus strategy was implemented in 2001, a proportion of patients again started receiving regimens that contained too few effective drugs. This has likely contributed to the development of XDR-TB in different parts of the province, as indicated by its development into a family of strains and the difference in susceptibility between the 2001 XDR isolate and the isolates from Tugela Ferry.”
They also suggest that since “the South African TB-control program uses streptomycin as a fifth drug in its re-treatment regimen” and since “it is that arm out of which the XDR strain developed...it is tempting to postulate that the addition of streptomycin to the standard 4-drug regimen for patients who required re-treatment has assisted in the selection and spread of organisms from the isoniazid-rifamycin-streptomycin–resistant variant.”
The investigators suggest other contributory factors, including fitness of the F15/LAM4/KZN strain, which led to more effective person-to-person transmission of MDR-TB alongside “an expanding epidemic of HIV infection. As a result, the number of immunocompromised individuals—and, with that, the number of those with increased susceptibility to M. tuberculosis—increased. As a result, the pool of patients in whom the F15/LAM4/KZN strain could spread increased as well.”
They conclude that “empirical treatment, as applied in TB-control programs, needs to be supported by drug-resistance surveillance programs.”
In an accompanying editorial, Michael Iseman of the University of Colorado School of Medicine, in Denver points out that the scaling-up of WHO’s DOTS programmes have “made [anti-TB] therapy available to many additional patients...and have doubtlessly had a substantial, positive impact.”
However, he notes that “supervised administration of all or the great majority of doses of anti-TB medications during the six-month standard regimen” is a rarity outside of the United States “owing to inadequate resources and/or skepticism about the need for use of such a model.”
Consequently, he argues, “an unwanted by-product of the expanded treatment program was the generation of new cases of drug-resistant TB...if we never had treated TB, there would be no drug resistance.”
“Given the widened use of the fluoroquinolones and other second-line medications, including the injectable agents,” he adds, “the appearance of XDR-TB was inevitable. Clinicians who treated patients with presumed MDR-TB did not have access to in vitro susceptibility test data to guide their regimen selections, and despite the admonition that such cases be given highest priority for DOTS, true supervision was understandably rare.”
“In roughly 55 years,” he concludes, “we have squandered our precious legacy of chemotherapy for these XDR-TB cases.”
Later this week the TB world will meet in Cape Town, South Africa to consider the global challenge of multi-drug resistant TB. Coverage of the 38th World Lung Health conference will appear at aidsmap.com from Friday November 8th. The lack of drug susceptibility testing, and remedies for this problem, will be the focus of one major report.