In the last post, we reviewed the
backstory regarding a report in Clinical
Infectious Diseases by Udwadia et al on the detection of TB cases at a
hospital in Mumbai, India, that lab tests suggested were resistant to all of
the anti-TB medications the hospital could get hold of, and which were thus
classified as being totally drug resistant-TB (TDR-TB).
Subsequently, however, after sending
down a team to investigate the cases, the Ministry of Health in India seemed to
downplay the gravity of the report, on one hand, while they announced a more
aggressive response to drug-resistant TB on the other — sending out rather
mixed messages about whether Udwadia et al did the right thing publishing their
findings or not.
“It was inappropriate on PD Hinduja’s
part to use the term TDR-TB because no such TB exists,” Dr S.K. Jindal, chief
of Revised National Tuberculosis Control Programme (RNTCP) was quoted as saying
in one article, making reference to the fact that there is no agreed upon definition
of TDR-TB (or at least one that is demonstrable in a lab) and that therefore
this was only XDR-TB.
In addition, according to the Ministry of
Health and Family Welfare’s press release,
the hospital hadn’t followed the appropriate RNCTCP protocol for “quality diagnosis and management of XDR TB:
Diagnosis of XDR TB must be based on microbiological confirmation from the
accredited national reference laboratories namely National Institute of
Research in TB/Chennai, National TB Institute/Bangalore and LRS Institute of TB
and Respiratory Diseases/New Delhi.”
Indeed, statements to the press
suggested that the lab wasn’t certified to perform such complicated drug
sensitivity tests. While WHO guidelines do recommend that laboratories need to
go through a certification process to demonstrate that they can do second line
DST, according to India’s Daily
New and Analysis, the lab at Hinduja National Hospital functions as Mumbai’s primary TB reference lab, and other reports we’ve
heard suggest it is probably technically proficient at performing DST for many
of the second-line drugs. For instance, according to Nature Magazine’s blog, Tanjore Balganesh, who until recently headed AstraZeneca’s TB research
centre in Bangalore
was quoted as saying the TDR-TB reports “raise concern, because the results
have come from a really good lab.”
And the researchers weren’t off base
when they said they performed DST using the critical concentrations for many of
first-line and second-line drugs as per WHO recommendations. Such
concentrations are listed for many
second-line anti-TB medications in WHO’s
Policy guidance on drug-susceptibility testing (DST) of second-line
anti-tuberculosis drugs.1 However the
guidelines also categorise or grade the recommendations for DST with each drug,
in order to show how much weight to give the DST results when considering how
to construct a potentially effective second or third-line regimen for drug
resistant TB. Consequently, the guidance stresses, using the DST guidance for
some of the drugs may be of little practical use. Thus the researchers could
have over-interpreted the significance of their findings.
Dr Karin Weyer of WHO’s STOP TB
Department provided some additional background to HATIP underscoring how
unreliable and difficult to interpret these tests can be.
“The reliability and reproducibility of phenotypic
second-line DST (in particular) are hampered by intrinsic differences in the
various available methods, in vitro technical difficulties due to drug powder
instability, protein binding, heat inactivation, filter sterilisation, and
incomplete dissolution. In addition, for many second-line drugs the critical
concentration defining resistance is often very close to the minimal inhibitory
concentration (MIC) required to achieve anti-mycobacterial activity, increasing
the probability of misclassification of resistance/susceptibility,” she told HATIP.
In light of this, the lack of
circumspection from the team at Hinduja Hospital about the conclusiveness of their
lab findings is troubling on a certain level. What we don’t want are some other
TB teams trying to perform DST tests in a similar way for these drugs, and
concluding mistakenly that a person is untreatable, when in fact, the drugs might
indeed work for them. Such mistakes could wind up being deadly.
The
clinical findings
The proof is in the clinical pudding —
in other words, does the clinical outcome match the resistance profile?
“These patients were already exposed to
these drugs and they did not work in them,” Udwadia said in one
report.
However, according to the Central Team’s
investigation, although three of the patients were dead, the nine remaining
patients diagnosed recently at Hinduja Hospital (including seven from Mumbai)
could be traced and were ‘found to be stable on treatment.’ In fact, according
to a report in Gulf News, Chief Minister Prithviraj Chavan said people need not panic over the
"so-called incurable disease," because the patients diagnosed were
responding well to treatment, he
said.
But unless the patient dies, it can be
difficult to know for certain whether treatment for drug-resistance is working
adequately.
According to a report
in the Times of India, they used “sputum microscopy” to
see if the surviving patients were responding to treatment. Smear-positive
cases are considered still highly infectious and are usually have either failed
to respond to treatment, or are not responding to treatment yet. Of the seven
surviving cases from Mumbai (the Times
did not include an account of the other two cases), four had become
smear-negative, while three remained smear positive. But given people with
M/XDR-TB may go back and forth between being smear-negative or smear-positive
while on treatment, smear microscopy is
not on its own a reliable indication of long-term outcome in such patients.
WHO’s recommends checking culture results to help identify,
whether an individuals bacteriology remains positive or reverts to positive
following initial smear negative results.2
In fact, since it takes weeks to allow a
culture to grow and at least a few weeks to be certain of a negative culture
(even with liquid culture), there was really no way for a team of experts to
make a visit and a day or two later announce with any surety that these patients
did not have ‘incurable TB,’ unless negative culture results were already
available for these patients (which seems highly unlikely given Udwadia’s
statements).
This is especially worrisome considering
what some reports said was being used to treat them. For instance, a report in
Scientific American highlighted just two anti-TB drugs including rifabutin
(which is generally cross-resistant and weaker than rifampicin which the
patients would have been resistant to by definition), and clofazimine, which
according to WHO’s 2011 update on the programmatic management of MDR-TB, is
included among ‘Group 5 drugs’ that “should not be counted among the main drugs
making up the MDR-TB regimen, given the inconclusive evidence on their
effectiveness.“3 In fact, in a review that the 2011 update is largely based upon, people
with MDR-TB taking clofazimine had worse outcomes.
However, according to the Lancet:
“Udwadia is trying any treatment he thinks
might work,” In addition to clofazimine (probably only thrown in for good
measure), this included double-dose isoniazid (which may over-ride common
isoniazid resistance which is usually of a low order), the harsh antibiotic
linezolid, the anti-psychotic drug thioridazine, and meropenem and clavulunate.
The choice of the latter two drugs, which have little anti-TB activity on their
own, is based upon a study showing they were profoundly
effective when combined against TB in mice, though as yet, there are
only limited data in humans.4, 5
“We are clutching at straws here”, Dr Udwadia told The
Lancet.
This is somewhat less than reassuring.
Preventing
panic
Reassurance appears to be primarily what
the Central Team was aiming at. In an article
in the Times of India on the 20th, following
the central team's conclusion that there were no cases of TDR TB in Mumbai,
[Chief Minister Prithviraj] Chavan said citizens had no reason to worry.
“There is no doomsday situation in
India,” the Delhi health ministry team said, according to another Times of
India article. It quoted Dr Ashok Kumar, deputy
director general for TB in Health Ministry "There should be no panic with
regard to TDR-TB."
According to a report by Ganapati Muder
in BMJ Indian “pulmonary and public health specialists
believe the government’s response, particularly its focus on the terminology of
resistance, seems intended to turn the spotlight away from India’s growing
problem of drug resistant tuberculosis."6 Critics such as Maryn
Miller in the Wired Science blog have concluded that this is:
“Fair enough, from the lab point of view. But from the political one,
this is clearly blame-shifting. Within India, media reports are quite clear about
what is really going on: The health ministry is looking for leverage to silence
these physicians in order to spare the country further embarrassment.”
Perhaps, but they also may have wanted
to avert panic, which was indeed a serious concern of public health
significance. According to one particularly
thoughtful report by Ramesh Menon in India Together:
“It is
frightening to think of how the new drug resistant strain is going to spread in
crowded, unhygienic, urban India. Doctors are worried. In fact, many doctors at the TB Hospital in Sewri at Mumbai who are
supposed to treat TB patients are now threatening to quit or are asking for a
transfer. As many as 37 doctors at the hospital have died due to TB. In the
last five years, 53 other doctors have contracted the disease. The fear is
real."
Moreover, they are not happy with the
safety provisions at the hospital, which was never known for its
infrastructure. It is also under-staffed. With the crisis looming large, the
BMC [Brihanmumbai
Municipal Corporation] wants to revamp the TB Hospital
and convert it to a Centre of Excellence for TB Management.
But with its staff now desperate to leave, this will be a long haul.”
Panic must be avoided, and perhaps the
best way of doing that is to take decisive action to address the problem. While
the reliability of their evidence of virtually untreatable TB is subject to
debate, Udwadia et al got the Indian media and their government to finally pay
attention to what is without a doubt a disaster in the making. “We expect the
government authorities to admit that a decade of neglect of MDR-TB patients has
resulted in TDR-TB,” Dr Zarir Udwadia of Hinduja Hospital told DNA
India.
Citing somewhat dated WHO surveillance estimates
of around 110,000 Indians with drug-resistant TB, Udwadia et al wrote in CID
that only about 1% of Indians with drug-resistant TB get diagnosed and receive
a standardised second-line treatment regimen through the country’s public
health system. However, WHO’s most recent surveillance update stresses that the
number of people with M/XDR-TB in India is simply unknown. Globally, there are close to half a million
MDR-TB cases each year.
According to the most recent update from
WHO, India, the Russian Federation, and China contribute more than 50% of the estimated worldwide
burden of MDR-TB, but only China
have reliable survey data on their national burden.7 RNTCP officials suggest that there are around 50,000 new MDR-TB cases
each year, and assuming they survive a couple of years, the 100, 000 figure is
close to right.
So that’s tens of thousands of cases
with MDR-TB in India.
But what happens to them next is even more frightening in the wilds of the
private sector.
“Patients
in India are trapped between
an unregulated private sector and a government sector with limited capacity for
drug sensitivity and treatment,” Dr Madhukar Pai, of McGill
University in Canada, told
BMJ.8
All of these people who are not
accessing appropriate diagnosis and treatment from RNTCP have to pay out of
pocket to seek treatment from private practitioners, many of whom are not
adequately trained, including pharmacists who will sell them medications
without a prescription. As Udwadia et al described in another study, only 5 out of 106 of private
practitioners were able to write appropriate scripts for drug-sensitive TB in Mumbai, leading the researchers to worry that India
was in danger of exchanging its drug-sensitive TB epidemic for a drug resistant
one.9
What
is even stranger is that the 106 doctors in TB didn’t just make common
mistakes, instead they prescribed 63 different
drug regimens.
If
that is how health care providers treat drug-sensitive TB, imagine how they manage
drug resistant TB. As a result, a person with MDR-TB might get some of the right
medications but in the wrong combinations, without proper follow-up. Given the
high cost of second-line TB drugs, there is also a good chance that they may
take effective medications for a while, and then quit when their money runs
out.
"Additional drug resistance is
therefore expected in these circumstances. We allowed it to happen. The problem
has been neglected for long," Dr. Puneet Dewan, medical officer TB, WHO, said
in the India Together article.
Treated this way, increasing drug
resistance is inevitable. Something indeed must be done or a growing proportion
of the MDR-TB cases will essentially become untreatable, and many probably
already are.
TDR-TB
is nothing new
As Dr Raviglione pointed out in the last
post, however, this is nothing new. In a sense, virtually TDR-TB really happens
whenever treatment for XDR-TB fails in a patient as another MDR-TB expert,
Professor Edward Nardell of Harvard
University is quoted as
saying on New TB Drugs Working Group’s Website:
“While the emergence and spread of
highly drug resistant strains has been a long-standing concern, strains
resistant to all drugs is not new, and has been a by-product of introducing
treatment for MDR TB long before XDR TB. Having been engaged early on in
the treatment of MDR TB in Peru,
Haiti, and Russia, PIH has
encountered highly drug resistant strains, now called XDR and TDR, long before
there were any headlines about them. Others have seen the same. Such
cases were simply called MDR treatment failures and became chronic cases.”
Similarly, reporter John Donnelly, wrote
in a blog post: “Whether the dozen people in India have a
type of tuberculosis worthy of a new acronym — “TDR-TB” — there is no doubt
that thousands of people with serious drug-resistant TB (including some who may
be resistant to all drugs) aren’t getting treatment at all, or getting
treatment that isn’t working.”
Donnelly cites WHO statistics that only
a quarter of MDR-TB patients get appropriate treatment, and only half complete
the full course successfully; while ”among
patients with XDR-TB, death is more common than successful treatment,” he
wrote.
Every country where XDR-TB has been detected, including in southern Africa, has had cases of XDR-TB that treatment fails to
control. Many of these die, others remain alive for years, and capable of
spreading the infection.
The question is, how to manage these
cases in India
and elsewhere, if not effectively, then at least humanely. Moreover, how can
they be prevented from ever happening?
References
[1] Policy guidance on drug susceptibility testing (DST)
of second-line anti-tuberculosis drugs. Geneva,
World Health Organization, 2008. (WHO/HTM/TB/2008.392). Available from:
whqlibdoc.who.int/hq/2008/WHO_HTM_TB_2008.392_eng.pdf.
[2] WHO. Guidelines for the programmatic management of drug resistant
Tuberculosis. 2011 Update. Geneve, 2011.
[3] Falzon D et al. WHO guidelines
for the programmatic management of drug-resistant tuberculosis: 2011 update. ERJ Express. Published on August 2, 2011 as doi:
10.1183/09031936.00073611.
[4] Hugonnet JM et al. Meropenem-clavanulate
is effective against extensively drug-resistant Mycobacterium tubeculosis.
Science 323: 1215-1218, 2009.
[5] Dauby, N et al. Meropenem/clavulanate and linezolid treatment for extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal:(30):9:812-813, 2011.
[6] Mudur G. Indian health
ministry challenges report of totally drug resistant tuberculosis. BMJ,
344:3702 doi:10.1136, bmj.e.702, 2012.
[7] Zignol M et al. Surveillance
of anti-tuberculosis drug resistance in the world: an
updated analysis, 2007–2010. Bull World Health Organ 90:111–119D, 2012.
[8] Mudur et al. op cit.
[9] Udwadia ZF,
Pinto LM, Uplekar MW. Tuberculosis control by private practitioners in Mumbai, India:
has anything changed in two decades? PloS One 2010; 5:e1203.